Post by kraj8995 on Aug 28, 2012 4:54:36 GMT -5
In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time and/or space if these events occur with a known average rate and independently of the time since the last event.
Suppose someone typically gets on the average 4 pieces of mail per day. There will be however a certain spread: sometimes a little more, sometimes a little less, once in a while nothing at all.Given only the average rate, for a certain period of observation (pieces of mail per day, phonecalls per hour, etc.), and assuming that the process, or mix of processes, that produce the event flow are essentially random, the Poisson distribution specifies how likely it is that the count will be 3, or 5, or 11, or any other number, during one period of observation. That is, it predicts the degree of spread around a known average rate of occurrence.
Suppose someone typically gets on the average 4 pieces of mail per day. There will be however a certain spread: sometimes a little more, sometimes a little less, once in a while nothing at all.Given only the average rate, for a certain period of observation (pieces of mail per day, phonecalls per hour, etc.), and assuming that the process, or mix of processes, that produce the event flow are essentially random, the Poisson distribution specifies how likely it is that the count will be 3, or 5, or 11, or any other number, during one period of observation. That is, it predicts the degree of spread around a known average rate of occurrence.